Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.020091 0.021672 0.023319 0.025162 0.027170 0.029293 0.031709
2025-11-09 0.017203 0.019432 0.021875 0.024756 0.028067 0.031762 0.036211
2025-11-16 0.015249 0.017818 0.020740 0.024322 0.028609 0.033596 0.039863
2025-11-23 0.013980 0.016787 0.020081 0.024248 0.029406 0.035614 0.043702
2025-11-30 0.012912 0.015868 0.019427 0.024054 0.029948 0.037256 0.047082
2025-12-07 0.012054 0.015120 0.018896 0.023924 0.030496 0.038865 0.050444
2025-12-14 0.011292 0.014426 0.018366 0.023727 0.030899 0.040258 0.053548
2025-12-21 0.010730 0.013942 0.018059 0.023776 0.031593 0.042029 0.057222
2025-12-28 0.010160 0.013408 0.017643 0.023635 0.031996 0.043397 0.060382
2026-01-04 0.009689 0.012974 0.017329 0.023599 0.032517 0.044928 0.063830
2026-01-11 0.009308 0.012637 0.017121 0.023687 0.033198 0.046695 0.067697
2026-01-18 0.008941 0.012298 0.016886 0.023714 0.033777 0.048327 0.071434
2026-01-25 0.008557 0.011931 0.016616 0.023703 0.034343 0.050033 0.075500
2026-02-01 0.008075 0.011402 0.016089 0.023292 0.034294 0.050819 0.078202
2026-02-08 0.007633 0.010908 0.015585 0.022881 0.034211 0.051536 0.080819
2026-02-15 0.007321 0.010589 0.015321 0.022812 0.034639 0.053053 0.084811
2026-02-22 0.007004 0.010245 0.014998 0.022631 0.034873 0.054261 0.088348
2026-03-01 0.006725 0.009944 0.014726 0.022509 0.035187 0.055601 0.092179
2026-03-08 0.006449 0.009636 0.014426 0.022325 0.035381 0.056745 0.095728
2026-03-15 0.006248 0.009432 0.014276 0.022370 0.035949 0.058533 0.100513
2026-03-22 0.006018 0.009173 0.014027 0.022239 0.036209 0.059802 0.104433
2026-03-29 0.005823 0.008963 0.013844 0.022206 0.036627 0.061358 0.108969
2026-04-05 0.005666 0.008803 0.013735 0.022287 0.037243 0.063286 0.114317